Medium- and long-term prediction method for electric vehicle charging load in consideration of orderly charging strategy

A medium- and long-term prediction method for an electric vehicle charging load in consideration of an orderly charging strategy, comprising:

• predicting a number of electric vehicles in a region, collecting daily driving mileage and power consumption mean values of the electric vehicles, and calculating a charging amount of the electric vehicles in a prediction year;
• determining, based on a Monte Carlo simulation method and travel patterns of the electric vehicles, a typical charging load curve of the electric vehicles in the region to be predicted;
• correcting, in consideration of an influence of the orderly charging strategy, the typical charging load curve of the electric vehicles in the region to be predicted according to an elasticity coefficient and a charging price in the prediction year;
• and
• obtaining, according to the charging amount of the electric vehicles in the prediction year and the corrected typical charging load curve of the electric vehicles in the prediction year, the final electric vehicle charging load in the region to be predicted in the prediction year.