Open loop intelligent dosing

A system, comprising:

• one or more processors;
• and
• one or more processor-readable media storing instructions which, when executed by the one or more processors, cause performance of:
• generating a physiological model for estimating glucose values of a patient based on historical data, the historical data comprising glucose value history and insulin dosage history for a time window during which the patient consumed a plurality of meals;
• estimating, using the physiological model and the historical data, an impact of the plurality of meals on the glucose values of the patient;
• receiving a first meal size indication of a first meal for consumption by the patient;
• and
• outputting a first meal bolus insulin dose recommendation based on the impact of the plurality of meals on the glucose values of the patient and the first meal size indication.

One or more non-transitory processor readable media storing instructions which, when executed by one or more processors, cause performance of:

• generating a physiological model for estimating glucose values of a patient based on historical data, the historical data comprising glucose value history and insulin dosage history for a time window during which the patient consumed a plurality of meals;
• estimating, using the physiological model and the historical data, an impact of the plurality of meals on the glucose values of the patient;
• receiving a first meal size indication of a first meal for consumption by the patient;
• and
• outputting a first meal bolus insulin dose recommendation based on the impact of the plurality of meals on the glucose values of the patient and the first meal size indication.