Probabilistic event triggering using location data

A system comprising:

• one or more processors;
• and
• one or more non-transitory computer-readable media storing computer executable instructions that, when executed, cause the one or more processors to perform operations comprising:
• receiving first location data from a user computing device, the first location data representing locations of the user computing device as the user computing device approaches a pickup location;
• receiving data indicating when the user computing device entered a virtual boundary associated with the pickup location;
• determining, based on the first location data, a location of the user computing device when the user computing device was a particular time period away from the user computing device entering the virtual boundary;
• associating the location with a discretized location of a map of an environment proximate the pickup location;
• applying a blurring function to the map to generate a probability field, wherein a probability of the probability field indicates a probability of a computing device at a particular location entering the virtual boundary within the particular time period;
• using the probability field to determine a probability of arriving at the pickup location within the particular time period;
• and
• triggering an action at the pickup location based on the probability meeting or exceeding a threshold probability.

One or more non-transitory computer-readable media storing computer executable instructions that, when executed, cause one or more processors to perform operations comprising:

• receiving first location data from a user computing device, the first location data representing locations of the user computing device as the user computing device approaches a pickup location;
• receiving data indicating when the user computing device entered a virtual boundary associated with the pickup location;
• determining, based on the first location data, a location of the user computing device when the user computing device was a particular time period away from the user computing device entering the virtual boundary;
• associating the location with a discretized location of a map of an environment proximate the pickup location;
• applying a blurring function to the map to generate a probability field, wherein a probability of the probability field indicates a probability of a computing device at a particular location entering the virtual boundary within the particular time period;
• using the probability field to determine a probability of arriving at the pickup location within the particular time period;
• and
• triggering an action at the pickup location based on the probability meeting or exceeding a threshold probability.