Taking into account uncertain timing effects in distributed control systems

A computer-implemented method for evaluating uncertain timing effects when controlling a distributed system with respect to one or more control variables, the method comprising the following steps:

• calculating a next time step in a simulation of an intrusive surrogate model for a mean value of a dynamic model, wherein a mean value of an output of the dynamic model is calculated, wherein the dynamic model is configured to calculate the one or more control variables as an output;
• calculating the next time step in a simulation of an intrusive surrogate model for a deviation, including a variance, of the dynamic model from the mean value of the dynamic model, wherein the deviation, including the variance, of the output of the dynamic model is calculated;
• wherein the control of the distributed systems depends on at least a first uncertain timing effect, which is represented in the dynamic model by a first uncertain parameter.

A computer system configured to evaluate uncertain timing effects when controlling a distributed system with respect to one or more control variables, the computer system configured to:

• calculate a next time step in a simulation of an intrusive surrogate model for a mean value of a dynamic model, wherein a mean value of an output of the dynamic model is calculated, wherein the dynamic model is configured to calculate the one or more control variables as an output;
• calculate the next time step in a simulation of an intrusive surrogate model for a deviation, including a variance, of the dynamic model from the mean value of the dynamic model, wherein the deviation, including the variance, of the output of the dynamic model is calculated;
• wherein the control of the distributed systems depends on at least a first uncertain timing effect, which is represented in the dynamic model by a first uncertain parameter.

A non-transitory computer-readable medium on which is stored a computer program for evaluating uncertain timing effects when controlling a distributed system with respect to one or more control variables, the computer program, when executed by a computer, causing the computer to perform the following steps:

• calculating a next time step in a simulation of an intrusive surrogate model for a mean value of a dynamic model, wherein a mean value of an output of the dynamic model is calculated, wherein the dynamic model is configured to calculate the one or more control variables as an output;
• calculating the next time step in a simulation of an intrusive surrogate model for a deviation, including a variance, of the dynamic model from the mean value of the dynamic model, wherein the deviation, including the variance, of the output of the dynamic model is calculated;
• wherein the control of the distributed systems depends on at least a first uncertain timing effect, which is represented in the dynamic model by a first uncertain parameter.