Long-term effect prediction apparatus, long-term effect prediction method, and program

Abstract

An object of the present disclosure is to predict a long-term effect of a social event on human behavior. For this purpose, the present disclosure provides a long-term effect prediction apparatus configured to predict a long-term effect of a social event on human behavior, the long-term effect prediction apparatus including: a relationship analysis unit configured to identify each index of a plurality of popularization factors after occurrence of past social events that promoted popularization of a subject to be analyzed on the basis of at least one of questionnaires and news articles, and quantify each of the indices on the basis of statistical data to obtain a numeric value; a contribution degree calculation unit configured to calculate a relative degree of contribution of each of the indices in the same period in a plurality of periods by performing standard regression analysis on the numeric value during the plurality of periods; and a scenario generation unit configured to generate a future prediction value of each of the indices on the basis of past transition in a degree of contribution of each the indices during the plurality of periods.

Dependencies are inferred from the claim text.