Computer-implemented method for controlling a regeneration event

A computer-implemented method for controlling a regeneration event for an exhaust aftertreatment system of a vehicle, the method comprising:

• collecting, by a processor device of a computer system, vehicle drive time statistical data for a vehicle driving cycle during driving of the vehicle, wherein the vehicle driving cycle is associated with a starting point and a first travelling direction from the starting point;
• determining, by the processor device, a most probable path of the vehicle driving cycle which is associated with the starting point and the first travelling direction, wherein the most probable path is a path between the starting point and a first destination point;
• during driving along the most probable path, determining, by the processor device, if the vehicle departs from the most probable path at an auxiliary point along the most probable path;
• in response to determining that the vehicle departs from the most probable path, collecting, by the processor device, additional vehicle drive time statistical data for an auxiliary path of the vehicle driving cycle, wherein the additional vehicle drive time statistical data uses the auxiliary point and an auxiliary travelling direction from the auxiliary point as reference for the auxiliary path, wherein the auxiliary path is a path between the auxiliary point and a second destination point;
• predicting, by the processor device, expected travelling times for travelling from the starting point to the first destination point and from the auxiliary point to the second destination point based on the collected drive time statistical data and the collected additional drive time statistical data;
• and
• controlling, by the processor device, the regeneration event based on the predicted expected travelling times.