Generating constraints based on reported crop arrivals to marketplaces and remote sensed data to estimate farm yields of farm fields

A computer program product for determining farm yields of farm fields in a geographical region that deliver crops to marketplaces in the geographical region, wherein the computer program product comprises a computer readable storage medium having program instructions embodied therewith that when executed cause operations, the operations comprising:

• generating a crop total arrival quantity to all marketplaces constraint comprising a relationship of a reported arrival of crops to the marketplaces and an estimated arrivals to the marketplaces from the farm fields, wherein the estimated arrivals to the marketplaces is calculated as a sum of estimated arrivals to a marketplace for each the marketplaces, wherein the sum of estimated arrivals to a marketplace is a sum of, for each farm field, the farm yield times a delivery probability the farm field delivers crops to the marketplace;
• solving a constraint optimization problem based on the crop total arrival quantity to all marketplaces constraints;
• and
• storing in a storage the farm yields for the farm fields.

A system comprising:

• a processor;
• and
• a computer readable storage medium having program instructions that when executed cause operations, the operations comprising:
• generating a total arrival quantity constraint for a marketplace comprising a function of a reported arrival of crops at a marketplace and an estimated arrival to the marketplace comprising a sum of farm yields for the farm fields, wherein the farm yields comprise variables to optimize;
• using sensed data of the farm fields to determine relationships of the farm yields for the farm fields;
• generating comparative farm yield constraints comprising relationships of the farm yields for different pairs of farms;
• solving a constraint optimization problem based on the total arrival quantity constraint and comparative farm yield constraints to calculate the farm yields of the farm fields;
• and
• storing in a storage the farm yields for the farm fields.

A system comprising:

• a processor;
• and
• a computer readable storage medium having program instructions that when executed cause operations, the operations comprising:
• generating a crop total arrival quantity to all marketplaces constraint comprising a relationship of a reported arrival of crops to the marketplaces and an estimated arrivals to the marketplaces from the farm fields, wherein the estimated arrivals to the marketplaces is calculated as a sum of estimated arrivals to a marketplace for each the marketplaces, wherein the sum of estimated arrivals to a marketplace is a sum of, for each farm field, the farm yield times a delivery probability the farm field delivers crops to the marketplace;
• solving a constraint optimization problem based on the crop total arrival quantity to all marketplaces constraints;
• and
• storing in a storage the farm yields for the farm fields.

A computer implemented method performed by a processor executing program code for determining farm yields of farm fields in a geographical region that deliver crops to marketplaces in the geographical region, comprising:

• generating a total arrival quantity constraint for a marketplace comprising a function of a reported arrival of crops at a marketplace and an estimated arrival to the marketplace comprising a sum of farm yields for the farm fields, wherein the farm yields comprise variables to optimize;
• using sensed data of the farm fields to determine relationships of the farm yields for the farm fields;
• generating comparative farm yield constraints comprising relationships of the farm yields for different pairs of farms;
• solving a constraint optimization problem based on the total arrival quantity constraint and comparative farm yield constraints to calculate the farm yields of the farm fields;
• and
• storing in a storage the farm yields for the farm fields.