Traffic estimation apparatus, traffic estimation method and program

A traffic estimation method executed by a computer, the traffic estimation method comprising:

• an estimation step of inputting, to a state space model, a first time series of traffic volume and a first time series of communication quality that are observed in a first communication line in which traffic demand is equal to or greater than a line bandwidth and a second time series of traffic volume and a second time series of communication quality that are observed in a second communication line in which traffic demand is less than a line bandwidth to estimate values of a parameter group of the state space model;
• and
• a calculation step of calculating the traffic demand based on the values of the parameter group, and wherein
• the state space model is a state space model in which the first time series of traffic volume and the second time series of traffic volume are generated from a third time series indicating cyclicity of traffic common to the first communication line and the second communication line under influence of the first time series of communication quality and the second time series of communication quality on the traffic demand.

A non-transitory computer readable medium storing one or more instructions causing a computer to execute:

• an estimation step of inputting, to a state space model, a first time series of traffic volume and a first time series of communication quality that are observed in a first communication line in which traffic demand is equal to or greater than a line bandwidth and a second time series of traffic volume and a second time series of communication quality that are observed in a second communication line in which traffic demand is less than a line bandwidth to estimate values of a parameter group of the state space model;
• and
• a calculation step of calculating the traffic demand based on the values of the parameter group, and wherein
• the state space model is a state space model in which the first time series of traffic volume and the second time series of traffic volume are generated from a third time series indicating cyclicity of traffic common to the first communication line and the second communication line under influence of the first time series of communication quality and the second time series of communication quality on the traffic demand.