Prediction of electrical power system behavior, and related systems, apparatuses, and methods

An electrical power system, comprising:

• one or more loads;
• one or more sensors operably coupled to the one or more loads and configured to measure power for the one or more loads;
• and
• a controller operably coupled to the one or more sensors, the controller configured to:
• store model data indicating, for time points of a time period of operation of the electrical power system, a model load power of the one or more loads;
• determine, based on information received from the one or more sensors, current data including a current load power consumed by the one or more loads for time points of a current time period of operation of the electrical power system, the current time period corresponding to an early portion of the time period of the model data stored by the data storage device;
• fit the model data to the current data to produce predicted data, a future portion of the predicted data corresponding to time points occurring after the early portion of the time period of the model data;
• and
• determine a set of control values to effectuate a change to operation of the electrical power system based, at least in part, on the future portion of the predicted data.

A method of operating an electrical power system, the method comprising:

• storing current data indicating power for the one or more loads at a first plurality of different points of time over a previous number of hours of operation;
• interpolating model data indicating a historic average power for the one or more loads at a second plurality of different points of time over a time span to have an interval of discretization that is the same as that of the current data, a subset of the time span corresponding to the previous number of hours of operation;
• determining a scale and an offset of the interpolated model data that fits a subset of the interpolated model data corresponding to the subset of the time span to the current data;
• scaling and offsetting the interpolated model data to produce predicted data, a future portion of the predicted data comprising future data;
• and
• determining a set of control values to effectuate a change to operation of the electrical power system based, at least in part, on the future data.