Method and system for event prediction via causal map generation and visualization

A computer program product producing a causal map from a body of text describing observed events, the computer program product comprising:

• a non-transitory computer-readable medium having executable instructions encoded thereon, such that upon execution of the instructions by one or more processors, the one or more processors perform operations of:
• receiving a plurality of textual documents as input;
• extracting pairs of cause-effect phrases from the plurality of textual documents;
• embedding the cause-effect phrases into a vector space, resulting in embedded data;
• clustering the embedded data into a plurality of clusters using a probabilistic technique;
• generating a causal map, comprising a plurality of nodes and edges, from the plurality of clusters;
• using the causal map, obtaining causal connections between clusters, wherein each node represents an event and each edge represents a causal relationship between events;
• and
• providing the causal map as an interactive graph.

A computer implemented method for producing a causal map from a body of text describing observed events, the method comprising an act of:

• causing one or more processers to execute instructions encoded on a non-transitory computer-readable medium, such that upon execution, the one or more processors perform operations of:
• receiving a plurality of textual documents as input;
• extracting pairs of cause-effect phrases from the plurality of textual documents;
• embedding the cause-effect phrases into a vector space, resulting in embedded data;
• clustering the embedded data into a plurality of clusters using a probabilistic technique;
• generating a causal map, comprising a plurality of nodes and edges, from the plurality of clusters;
• using the causal map, obtaining causal connections between clusters, wherein each node represents an event and each edge represents a causal relationship between events;
• and
• providing the causal map as an interactive graph.