Pressure control to reduce pump power fluctuations

A method for monitoring the status of a polymerization reactor comprises:

• measuring one or more operational parameters within a polymerization reactor during a polymerization process;
• transferring the one or more operational parameters to a probability network,
• wherein the probability network is developed using historical data for a polymerization system,
• wherein the historical data comprises data for the one or more operational parameters and corresponding event data,
• wherein the one or more operational parameters comprise a plurality of production variables, and
• wherein the probability network is a Bayesian network;
• and
• determining a probability of a state of the polymerization reactor using the probability network with the one or more operational parameters within the polymerization reactor.

A system for monitoring a polymerization production facility comprising at least one polymerization reactor having a plurality of reaction zones disposed therein, the system comprises:

• a memory;
• a processor;
• and
• a monitoring application stored in the memory, wherein the monitoring application, when executed on the processor, configures the processor to:
• obtain production data measurements of a plurality of production variables from the plurality of reaction zones within the at least one polymerization reactor during operation of the polymerization reactor;
• determine a probability of one or more events within the polymerization reactor using the production data measurements with a probability network, wherein the probability network is a Bayesian network;
• and output an indication of a probability of the one or more events.