Method for managing centralized power generation with the aid of a digital computer

A method for centralized power generation with the aid of a digital computer comprising the steps of:

• providing a computer with a time series of readings of centralized power generation for a power generation plant recorded at regular intervals over an initial period of power consumption;
• providing the computer with a time series of readings of distributed photovoltaic power production also recorded at the regular intervals over the initial period
• determining, by the computer, losses associated with the centralized power generation;
• equating, by the computer, the centralized power generation readings and the distributed photovoltaic power production readings as reflective of initial customer demand;
• estimating, by the computer, customer demand, beginning with the initial period, over a plurality of successive forecast periods, for each forecast period, comprising:
• determining, by the computer, the distributed photovoltaic power production proportioned at an increased rate of growth over the prior forecast period and forecasting, by the computer, distributed photovoltaic power production at each regular interval for the forecast period;
• determining, by the computer, the losses associated with the centralized power generation proportioned at an increased rate of growth over the prior forecast period and forecasting, by the computer, losses at each regular interval for the forecast period;
• and
• determining, by the computer, the customer demand proportioned at an increased rate of growth over the prior forecast period and forecasting, by the computer, centralized power generation with distributed photovoltaic power production to meet the increased customer demand at each regular interval for the forecast period, less the forecasted distributed photovoltaic power production plus the forecasted losses, both at each corresponding regular interval of the forecast period,
• providing the centralized power generation with distributed photovoltaic power production that was forecasted to meet the increased customer demand for the plurality of successive forecast periods to a production output controller for the power generation plant;
• and
• during each forecast period, operating the production output controller for the power generation plant to generate sufficient power to meet the centralized power generation with distributed photovoltaic power production that was forecasted.