Methods and systems for load balancing using forecasting and overbooking techniques

A method for establishing a session between a first computer and an application executing on another computer, the method comprising:

• intercepting, by a load balancing agent executing on a first computer, a connection request generated by the first computer to establish a session with an application;
• determining whether the connection request has a corresponding cached session;
• identifying, by the load balancing agent responsive to determining the connection request does not correspond to a cached session, a second computer executing an instance of the requested application by evaluating a forecasted load,
• the forecasted load calculated by adding a current load value representative of a current load on the second computer to a load value for a distributed computing environment comprising the first computer and the second computer, wherein the load value for the distributed computing environment is based on a number of cached sessions, a reconnection probability and an average session load;
• wherein determining the load value for the distributed computing environment further comprises:
• identifying an average load on a plurality of sessions executing on the second computer;
• identifying a cached session value associated with an amount of cached sessions within the plurality of sessions;
• identifying a probability that a cached session reconnects;
• and
• multiplying the average load by the cached session value and the probability;
• and connecting the first computer to the application executing on the second computer.