System, method and program recording medium for supply capacity estimation

A supply capacity estimating system that is connected to or incorporated in a parts transaction system that performs information processing for supporting transaction of parts between a buyer and a supplier by using at least one computer using a communication network, the parts transaction system including the at least one computer comprising:

• A controlling portion configured to register and display, on a screen, transaction information of the parts including information of delivery requests including the number of required parts from the buyer and information of delivery responses including the number of suppliable parts from the supplier,
• A storing portion configured to store and manage transaction information of the parts obtained by the transaction information displaying function on a database (DB) in chronological order as transaction history information, and
• the supply capacity estimating system comprising at least one computer comprising:
• a calculating portion configured to perform processes of estimating the parts supply capacity of the supplier with respect to a delivery response of the supplier in reply to a delivery request of the buyer, wherein the calculating portion is configured to perform:
• a process of acquiring, from the parts transaction system, delivery request history information related to the delivery request of the buyer;
• a process of acquiring, from the parts transaction system, delivery response history information related to the delivery response of the supplier;
• a process of acquiring or inputting process lead time information related to provision of parts from the supplier;
• wherein the calculating portion comprises:
• a first estimating portion configured to perform processes of estimating the number of suppliable parts of the delivery response with respect to the required number of present or future delivery request as the supply capacity by referring to numbers of suppliable parts of delivery response in reply to required numbers of delivery requests at past time points that have been retroacted by process lead times from a reference delivery date of parts to the buyer for each of the parts by using the delivery request history information, the delivery response history information and the process lead time information, wherein the process lead time information includes a first process lead time for transporting parts from the supplier to the buyer related to inventory in transit on the supplier side, and
• wherein the first estimating portion is configured to perform processes of estimating a quantity value based on the inventory in transit on the supplier side as the supply capacity by the referring to the numbers of suppliable parts of delivery response in reply to the required numbers of delivery requests at past time points that have been retroacted by the first process lead times from a reference delivery date of parts to the buyer;
• and
• a process of outputting a screen including the estimated result information to the user.

A supply capacity estimating method for performing information processing for supporting transaction of parts between a buyer and a supplier by using at least one computer using a communication network, the supply capacity estimating method comprising:

• a process step of registering and displaying, using the at least one computer, transaction information of the parts including information of delivery requests including the number of required parts from the buyer and information of delivery responses including the number of suppliable parts from the supplier;
• a process step for storing and managing, using the at least one computer, transaction information of the parts on a DB in chronological order as transaction history information;
• and
• an estimating process step for performing, using the at least one computer, processes of estimating the parts supply capacity of the supplier with respect to a delivery response of the supplier in reply to a delivery request of the buyer,
• the estimating process step including:
• a process step of acquiring, using the at least one computer, from the DB, delivery request history information related to the delivery request of the buyer;
• a process step of acquiring, using the at least one computer, from the DB, delivery response history information related to the delivery response of the supplier;
• a process step of acquiring or inputting, using the at least one computer, process lead time information related to provision of parts from the supplier;
• wherein the calculating portion comprises:
• a first estimating portion configured to perform processes of estimating the number of suppliable parts of the delivery response with respect to the required number of present or future delivery request as the supply capacity by referring to numbers of suppliable parts of delivery response in reply to required numbers of delivery requests at past time points that have been retroacted by process lead times from a reference delivery date of parts to the buyer for each of the parts by using the delivery request history information, the delivery response history information and the process lead time information, wherein the process lead time information includes a first process lead time for transporting parts from the supplier to the buyer related to inventory in transit on the supplier side, and
• wherein the first estimating portion is configured to perform processes of estimating a quantity value based on the inventory in transit on the supplier side as the supply capacity by the referring to the numbers of suppliable parts of delivery response in reply to the required numbers of delivery requests at past time points that have been retroacted by the first process lead times from a reference delivery date of parts to the buyer;
• and
• a process step of outputting a screen including the estimated result information to the user.

A non-transitory computer recording medium recorded therein a supply capacity estimating program for making at least one computer perform information processing for supporting transaction of parts between a buyer and a supplier using a communication network, the information process comprising:

• registering and displaying, using the at least one computer, transaction information of the parts including information of delivery requests including the number of required parts from the buyer and information of delivery responses including the number of suppliable parts from the supplier;
• storing and managing, using at least one computer, transaction information of the parts on a database (DB) in chronological order as transaction history information;
• and
• performing an estimating process of estimating, using the at least one computer, the parts supply capacity of the supplier with respect to a delivery response of the supplier in reply to a delivery request of the buyer;
• the estimating processes including:
• a process of acquiring, using the at least one computer, from the DB, delivery request history information related to the delivery request of the buyer;
• a process of acquiring, using the at least one computer, from the DB, delivery response history information related to the delivery response of the supplier;
• a process of acquiring, using the at least one computer, process lead time information related to provision of parts from the supplier;
• wherein the calculating portion comprises:
• a first estimating portion configured to perform processes of estimating the number of suppliable parts of the delivery response with respect to the required number of present or future delivery request as the supply capacity by referring to numbers of suppliable parts of delivery response in reply to required numbers of delivery requests at past time points that have been retroacted by process lead times from a reference delivery date of parts to the buyer for each of the parts by using the delivery request history information, the delivery response history information and the process lead time information, wherein the process lead time information includes a first process lead time for transporting parts from the supplier to the buyer related to inventory in transit on the supplier side, and
• wherein the first estimating portion is configured to perform processes of estimating a quantity value based on the inventory in transit on the supplier side as the supply capacity by the referring to the numbers of suppliable parts of delivery response in reply to the required numbers of delivery requests at past time points that have been retroacted by the first process lead times from a reference delivery date of parts to the buyer;
• and
• a process of outputting a screen including the estimated result information to the user.