Movement predicting method
AssigneeNational Chiao Tung University
InventorsYi-Bing Lin, Chien-Chun Huang-Fu
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Abstract
A movement predicting method is disclosed. The method utilizes at least one phone communicating in and moving between neighboring cells of base stations to predict population movement in a prediction interval. Firstly, obtain the traffic volumes in the cells generated by the phone and the handover information generated by the phone moving between the cells in a day. Next, calculate the traffic volumes and the handover information to obtain a movement probability for the population moving between the cells and an average residence time that the population stays in the region of each cell in the different periods of the day. Finally, according to the data obtained, predict an appearance probability that the population appears in each region at the end point of the prediction interval.
Claims8
A movement predicting method, which uses at least one phone communicating in and moving between neighboring cells covered by a plurality of base stations to predict movement of users of said phone in a prediction interval, comprising steps:
- obtaining traffic volume generated by said phone in each said cell and handover information generated by said phone moving between said cells during one day with said base stations and storing said traffic volume and said handover information into a Mobile Switching Center (MSC);
- calculating said traffic volume and said handover information to obtain a movement probability that said user moves from one said cell to a neighboring said cell and an average residence time that said user stays in one region covered by one said cell for each communication period in one day with said MSC;
- and
- predicting an appearance probability that said user appears in each said region at an end point of said prediction interval according to a start point of said prediction interval, said movement probability, and said average residence time with said MSC.
Dependencies are inferred from the claim text.