Systems, methods and computer program products for modeling a monetary measure for a good based upon technology maturity levels

An apparatus for modeling quantitative risk or return as a function of a plurality of qualitative measures of maturity comprising:

• a processor configured to determine a probability distribution for each of a plurality of risk values, the probability distribution assigning a respective probability to each of a plurality of different risks or returns, the probability distribution reflecting an uncertainty in the risk or return, wherein the plurality of risk values are ordered from a lowest risk value to a highest risk value,
• wherein the processor is also configured to assign a qualitative measure of maturity to each of the plurality of probability distributions based upon a respective risk value to thereby generate a model of quantitative risk or return as a function of the plurality of measures of maturity, wherein the measures of maturity are ordered from a highest measure of maturity to a lowest measure of maturity, and wherein the processor being configured to assign the plurality of measures of maturity includes being configured to assign a higher measure of maturity to a probability distribution for a lower risk value and
• wherein the processor is configured to generate a model of a monetary measure for a good as a function of at least one qualitative measure of maturity for at least one technology associated with a good, and based upon the model of quantitative risk or return.

A computer program product for modeling quantitative risk or return as a function of a plurality of qualitative measures of maturity, the computer program product comprising a computer-readable storage medium having computer-readable program code portions stored therein, the computer-readable program portions comprising:

• a first executable portion for determining a probability distribution for each of a plurality of risk values, the probability distribution assigning a respective probability to each of a plurality of different risks or returns the probability distribution reflecting an uncertainty in the risk or return, wherein the plurality of risk values are ordered from a lowest risk value to a highest risk value;
• a second executable portion for assigning a qualitative measure of maturity to each of the plurality of probability distributions based upon a respective risk value to thereby generate a model of quantitative risk or return as a function of the plurality of measures of maturity, wherein the measures of maturity are ordered from a highest measure of maturity to a lowest measure of maturity, and wherein the second executable portion assigns the plurality of measures of maturity by assigning a higher measure of maturity to a probability distribution for a lower risk value;
• and
• a third executable portion for generating a model of a monetary measure for a good as a function of at least one qualitative measure of maturity for at least one technology associated with a good and based upon the model of quantitative risk or return.