Conflict assessment system tool
AssigneeThe Fund for Peace Corporation
InventorsMark A. Clark, Pauline H. Baker, Anne V. Russell
Life of this patent
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Abstract
Methods and apparatus for performing conflict assessments conducted by a software tool, which are particularly suited for monitoring internal conflicts of various countries are disclosed. An application of this method and apparatus to the international community is also disclosed.
Claims17
A method of conflict assessment using a relational database stored on a source medium loaded onto a computer system, comprising the steps of:
- selecting a country and time period to analyze;
- determining if the database contains enough-information to perform a base assessment of the selected country;
- gathering up-to-the-moment information by Internet searches;
- analyzing the information to determine a plurality of internal conflict indicators;
- factoring the present state of each indicator and the indicator's cumulative value against past conflict assessments by determining the rate of change in the state of conflict and the differences in the contributing factors;
- and
- outputting the assessment data results for a user to view;
- wherein the step of determining the rate of change in the state of conflict and the differences in the contributing factors further comprise the steps of:
- placing a composite value of the indicators onto a historical graph of previous conflict assessments;
- determining the delta of the composite value and the delta of each indicator value from the last assessment;
- determining if automatic alerts or warnings should be issued based on predetermined criteria;
- and
- placing the composite values and the delta information of the selected country onto a conflict assessment framework, wherein said framework comprises five stages of conflict that track where the selected country falls with respect to the probability of conflict arising.
A method of conflict assessment using a relational database stored on a source medium loaded onto a computer system, comprising the steps of:
- selecting a country and time period to analyze;
- determining if the database contains enough information to perform a base assessment of the selected country;
- gathering up-to-the-moment information by determining indicator rankings for the selected country, determining each indicator's weighted values for the selected country, and determining the presence of anomalies that effect the ranked indicators;
- factoring the present state of each indicator and the indicators' cumulative value against past conflict assessments by determining a rate of change in the state of internal conflict and the differences in the contributing factors;
- and
- outputting the assessment data results of a user to view;
- wherein the step of determining the rate of change in the state of conflict and the differences in the contributing factors further comprises the steps of;
- placing a composite value of the indicators onto a historical graph of previous conflict assessments;
- determining the delta of the composite value and the delta of each indicator value from the last assessment;
- determining if automatic alerts or warnings should be issued based on pre-determined criteria;
- and
- placing the composite value and the delta information of the selected country onto a conflict assessment framework, wherein said framework comprises five stages of conflict that track where the elected country falls with respect to the probability of conflict arising.
A conflict assessment method, comprising maintaining a relational database of information relating to countries, qualitative indicators and quantitative indicators;
- updating the database with current information;
- analyzing the information to determine a plurality of internal conflict indicators for a country;
- and
- determining a rate of change of conflict in the country.
Dependencies are inferred from the claim text.