Security analyst performance tracking and analysis system and method

A computer implemented system for creating a composite prediction based on a plurality of analysts' current predictions and historical data concerning analysts' past predictions, the system comprising:

• (i) a historical database of data concerning a plurality of analysts' past predictions;
• (ii) a database of a plurality of analysts' current predictions;
• (iii) means for creating a model with user selected parameters to generate a composite prediction based on the historical data, comprising:
• a. means for enabling an adjustment factor to be applied to current predictions for selected analysts;
• b. means for enabling a weighting factor to be applied to the adjusted current predictions for the selected analysts to generate modified current predictions of the selected analysts, wherein the composite prediction is generated by summing the modified current predictions of the selected analysts;
• and
• wherein the current predictions comprise analysts' earning estimates for a security.

A computer implemented system for creating a composite prediction based on a plurality of analysts' current predictions and historical data concerning analysts' past predictions, the system comprising:

• (i) a historical database of data concerning a plurality of analysts' past predictions;
• (ii) a database of a plurality of analysts' current predictions;
• and
• (iii) means for creating a model with user selected parameters to generate a composite prediction based on the historical data wherein the current predictions comprise analysts' buy-sell recommendations for a security;
• wherein the means for creating a model comprises:
• a. means for generating individual weighting factors for individual analysts based at least in part on the historical data;
• and
• b. means for modifying for individual analysts, the current buy-sell recommendation of an individual analyst by the weighting factor generated for the individual analyst, wherein the composite prediction is generated by summing the modified current buy-sell recommendations of a plurality of analysts.

A computer implemented system for creating a composite prediction based on a plurality of analysts' current predictions and historical data concerning analysts' past predictions, the system comprising:

• (i) a historical database of data concerning a plurality of analysts' past predictions;
• (ii) a database of a plurality of analysts' current predictions;
• and
• (iii) means for creating a model with user selected parameters to generate a composite prediction based on the historical data wherein the current predictions comprise analysts' buy-sell recommendations for a security;
• wherein the means for creating a model comprises:
• a. means for enabling an adjustment factor to be applied to current buy-sell recommendations for selected analysts;
• and
• b. means for enabling a weighting factor to be applied to the adjusted current buy-sell recommendations for the selected analysts to generate modified current buy-sell recommendations of the selected analysts, wherein the composite prediction is generated by summing the modified current buy-sell recommendations of the selected analysts.

A computer implemented system for creating a composite prediction based on a plurality of analysts' current predictions and historical data concerning analysts' past predictions, the system comprising:

• (i) a historical database of data concerning a plurality of analysts' past predictions;
• (ii) a database of a plurality of analysts' current predictions;
• and
• (iii) means for creating a model with user selected parameters to generate a composite prediction based on the historical data wherein the current predictions comprise analysts' buy-sell recommendations for a security;
• wherein the means for creating a model comprises:
• a. means for enabling an adjustment factor based on a raw error metric to be applied to current buy-sell recommendations for selected analysts;
• and
• b. means for enabling a weighting factor based on an absolute error metric to be applied to the adjusted current buy-sell recommendations for the selected analysts to generate modified current buy-sell recommendations of the selected analysts, wherein the composite prediction is generated by averaging the modified current buy-sell recommendations of the selected analysts.