# US 2024/0201640 A1 · Real Time Characteristic Prediction for Unconsolidated Composite Materials

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- Number: US 2024/0201640 A1
- Document ID: US20240201640A1
- Status: Published application
- Kind: A1
- Application number: 18/416,467
- Filed: 2024-01-18
- Published: 2024-06-20
- Earliest claimed: 2022-07-08
- Assignees: The Boeing Company
- Applicants: The Boeing Company
- Inventors: David Williamson Shahan; Rashmi Sundareswara; Tiffany Allison Stewart; Yuksel Can Yabansu; Andrew L. Bauer; Gwen Marie Lanphere Gross
- Web page: https://patentgrep.com/patent/US20240201640A1

## CPC

- G05B 13/048: {using a predictor}
- G05B 13/0265: {the criterion being a learning criterion}
- G05B 13/042: {in which a parameter or coefficient is automatically adjusted to optimise the performance}
- G05B: CONTROL OR REGULATING SYSTEMS IN GENERAL; FUNCTIONAL ELEMENTS OF SUCH SYSTEMS; MONITORING OR TESTING ARRANGEMENTS FOR SUCH SYSTEMS OR ELEMENTS (systems for controlling or regulating non-electric variables G05D; systems for regulating electric or magnetic variables G05F; control devices or systems insofar as characterised by mechanical features only G05G)

## Abstract

A method, apparatus, system, and computer program product for predicting a number of characteristics of an unconsolidated composite material. Sensor data is received in real time from a composite material manufacturing system during manufacturing of an unconsolidated composite material. Initial predictions are generated for a number of characteristics of the unconsolidated composite material in a completed form in real time during manufacturing of the unconsolidated composite material in the composite material manufacturing system using a number of physics-based models and a number of machine learning models trained using data. A final prediction is determined in real time for the number of characteristics based on the initial predictions.

## Claims

### Claim 1

A characteristic prediction system comprising:
a computer system; and
prediction manager located in the computer system, wherein the prediction manager is configured to:
generate initial predictions for a number of characteristics of an unconsolidated composite material in a completed form in real time during manufacturing of the unconsolidated composite material in the composite material manufacturing system using sensor data received in real time from a sensor system for a composite material manufacturing system during manufacturing of the unconsolidated composite material, a number of physics-based models, and a number of machine learning models, wherein the number of machine learning models is trained to generate a number of the initial predictions using the sensor data;
determine uncertainties for the initial predictions for the number of characteristics of the unconsolidated composite material in the completed form from the number of physics-based models and the number of machine learning models in real time during manufacturing of the unconsolidated composite material;
associate weights with the initial predictions for the number of characteristics using the uncertainties; and
determine a final prediction for the number of characteristics based on the initial predictions and the weights associated with the initial predictions.

### Claim 2 (depends on 1)

The characteristic prediction system of claim 1 further comprising:
a controller that is configured to adjust a number of processing conditions for the composite material manufacturing system based on the final prediction.

### Claim 3 (depends on 2)

The characteristic prediction system of claim 2, wherein the number of processing conditions is selected from at least one of a material input to the composite material manufacturing system, a setting for the composite material manufacturing system.

### Claim 4 (depends on 1)

The characteristic prediction system of claim 1, wherein the number of physics-based models is selected from at least one of thermal model, an infiltration model, a rheological model, a permeability model that calculates a level of resin filtration, a thickness model that calculates a reduction of a thickness of a composite prepreg, or a resin infiltration model that calculates the level of resin filtration.

### Claim 5 (depends on 1)

The characteristic prediction system of claim 1, wherein the number of machine learning models is selected from at least one of a first machine learning model trained using historical sensor data from a number of composite material manufacturing systems during manufacturing of unconsolidated composite materials, a second machine learning model trained using the historical sensor data and historical processing conditions, or a third machine learning model trained using the historical processing conditions and a number of historical characteristics.

### Claim 6 (depends on 1)

The characteristic prediction system of claim 1, wherein the uncertainties are generated by the number of machine learning models as part of generating the initial predictions.

### Claim 7 (depends on 1)

The characteristic prediction system of claim 1, in determining the final prediction, the prediction manager is configured to:
determine the final prediction for the number of characteristics based on the initial predictions and the weights associated with the initial predictions using at least one of a voting regression, a stacking regression, or a bagging estimator.

### Claim 8 (depends on 1)

The characteristic prediction system of claim 1, wherein the number of characteristics is selected from at least one of a fiber areal weight, a resin content, a prepreg thickness, a prepreg infiltration level, a prepreg tack level, a prepreg fiber areal weight, a resin film areal weight, a resin film thickness, a release liner areal weight, a release liner thickness, or a laminate structural property.

### Claim 9 (depends on 1)

The characteristic prediction system of claim 1, wherein the sensor data comprises characteristics data and production data.

### Claim 10 (depends on 1)

The characteristic prediction system of claim 1, wherein the composite material manufacturing system is one of a carbon fiber prepreg coating line, carbon fiber prepreg coating line, a reinforcing fiber resin impregnation line, a resin mix process system, a resin filming line, a prepreg system, and a slitting process system.

### Claim 11

A characteristic prediction system comprising:
a computer system; and
prediction manager located in the computer system, wherein the prediction manager is configured to:
receive sensor data in real time from a sensor system for a composite material manufacturing system during manufacturing of an unconsolidated composite material;
generate initial predictions for a number of characteristics of the unconsolidated composite material in a completed form in real time during manufacturing of the unconsolidated composite material in the composite material manufacturing system using a number of physics-based models and a number of machine learning models trained to generate the initial predictions using the sensor data; and
determine a final prediction in real time for the number of characteristics based on the initial predictions.

### Claim 12 (depends on 11)

The characteristic prediction system of claim 11, wherein the prediction manager is configured to:
receive uncertainties for the initial predictions for the number of characteristics of the unconsolidated composite material from the number of physics-based models and the number of machine learning models in real time during manufacturing of the unconsolidated composite material; and
associate weights with the initial predictions for the number of characteristics using the uncertainties, wherein in determining the final prediction, the prediction manager is configured to:
determine the final prediction for the number of characteristics based on the initial predictions and the weights associated with the initial predictions.

### Claim 13 (depends on 11)

The characteristic prediction system of claim 11, wherein the number of physics-based models is selected from at least one of thermal model, an infiltration model, a rheological model, a permeability model that calculates a level of resin filtration, a thickness model that calculates a reduction of a thickness of a composite prepreg, or a resin infiltration model that calculates the level of resin filtration.

### Claim 14 (depends on 11)

The characteristic prediction system of claim 11, wherein the number of machine learning models is selected from at least one of a first machine learning model trained using historical sensor data from a number of composite material manufacturing systems during manufacturing of unconsolidated composite materials, a second machine learning model trained using the historical sensor data and historical processing conditions, or a third machine learning model trained using the historical processing conditions and a number of historical characteristics.

### Claim 15

A method for predicting a number of characteristics of an unconsolidated composite material, the method comprising:
generating initial predictions for a number of characteristics of the unconsolidated composite material in a completed form in real time during manufacturing of the unconsolidated composite material in the composite material manufacturing system using sensor data received in real time from a sensor system for a composite material manufacturing system during manufacturing of the unconsolidated composite material, a number of physics-based models, and a number of machine learning models, wherein the number of machine learning models is trained to generate a number of the initial predictions using the sensor data;
determining uncertainties for the initial predictions for the number of characteristics of the unconsolidated composite material in the completed form from the number of physics-based models and the number of machine learning models in real time during manufacturing of the unconsolidated composite material;
associating weights with the initial predictions for the number of characteristics using the uncertainties; and
determining a final prediction for the number of characteristics based on the initial predictions and the weights associated with the initial predictions.

### Claim 16 (depends on 15)

The method of claim 15 further comprising:
adjusting a number of processing conditions for the composite material manufacturing system based on the final prediction.

### Claim 17 (depends on 16)

The method of claim 16, wherein the number of processing conditions is selected from at least one of a material input to the composite material manufacturing system, a setting for the composite material manufacturing system.

### Claim 18 (depends on 15)

The method of claim 15, wherein the number of physics-based models is selected from at least one of thermal model, an infiltration model, a rheological model, a permeability model that calculates a level of resin filtration, a thickness model that calculates a reduction of a thickness of a composite prepreg, or a resin infiltration model that calculates the level of resin filtration.

### Claim 19 (depends on 15)

The method of claim 15, wherein the number of machine learning models is selected from at least one of a first machine learning model trained using historical sensor data, a second machine learning model trained using the historical sensor data and historical processing conditions, or a third machine learning model trained using the historical processing conditions and a number of historical characteristics.

### Claim 20 (depends on 19)

The method of claim 19, wherein the historical sensor data comprises historical data and production data.

### Claim 21 (depends on 15)

The method of claim 15, wherein the uncertainties are generated by the number of machine learning models as part of generating the initial predictions.

### Claim 22 (depends on 15)

The method of claim 15, wherein determining the final prediction comprises:
determining the final prediction for the number of characteristics based on the initial predictions and the weights associated with the initial predictions using at least one of a voting regression, a stacking regression, or a bagging estimator.

### Claim 23 (depends on 15)

The method of claim 15, wherein the number of characteristics is selected from at least one of a fiber areal weight, a resin content, a prepreg thickness, a prepreg infiltration level, a prepreg tack level, a prepreg fiber areal weight, a resin film areal weight, a resin film thickness, a release liner areal weight, a release liner thickness, or a laminate structural property.

### Claim 24 (depends on 15)

The method of claim 15, wherein the sensor data comprises characteristics data and production data.

### Claim 25 (depends on 15)

The method of claim 15, wherein the composite material manufacturing system is a carbon fiber prepreg coating line, a reinforcing fiber resin impregnation line, a resin mix process system, a resin filming line, a prepreg system, and a slitting process system.

### Claim 26

A method for predicting a number of characteristics of an unconsolidated composite material, the method comprising:
receiving sensor data in real time from a composite material manufacturing system during manufacturing of an unconsolidated composite material;
generating initial predictions for a number of characteristics of the unconsolidated composite material in a completed form in real time during manufacturing of the unconsolidated composite material in the composite material manufacturing system using a number of physics-based models and a number of machine learning models trained using data; and
determining a final prediction in real time for the number of characteristics based on the initial predictions.
