Temporal and spatial supply chain risk analysis

A system comprising:

• a processor;
• and
• a memory in communication with the processor, the memory containing instructions that, when executed by the processor, cause the processor to:
• receive data of a supply chain, wherein the data includes a plurality of components each moving through a plurality of locations at a plurality of points in time;
• identify a plurality of risks that relate to at least some of the plurality of locations;
• calculate likelihoods of each of the plurality of risks impacting any of the plurality of components at any of the plurality of locations at any of the plurality of points in time by simulating the risk spreading across space and time;
• identify that a risk of the plurality of risks has more than a threshold likelihood of impacting at least one component of the plurality of components at a respective location of the plurality of locations at a respective point in time of the plurality of points in time;
• and
• provide, to a user, a change to the supply chain that lowers a likelihood of the risk impacting the at least one component at the respective location at the respective point in time to below the threshold likelihood.

A computer program product, the computer program product comprising a computer readable storage medium having program instructions embodied therewith, the program instructions executable by a computer to cause the computer to:

• receive data of a supply chain, wherein the data includes a plurality of components each moving through a plurality of locations at a plurality of points in time;
• identify a plurality of risks that relate to at least some of the plurality of locations;
• calculate likelihoods of each of the plurality of risks impacting any of the plurality of components at any of the plurality of locations at any of the plurality of points in time by simulating the risk spreading across space and time;
• identify that a risk of the plurality of risks has more than a threshold likelihood of impacting at least one component of the plurality of components at a respective location of the plurality of locations at a respective point in time of the plurality of points in time;
• and
• provide, to a user, a change to the supply chain that lowers a likelihood of the risk impacting the at least one component at the respective location at the respective point in time to below the threshold likelihood.