Systems and methods for creating 4d guided history matched models

A system for creating a 4D guided history matched model of a petroleum exploration environment, the system comprising a network of saturation sensors and a model processing hub, wherein:

• individual saturation sensors of the network of saturation sensors are positioned at different ones of a plurality of reservoir wells in a petroleum exploration environment;
• the saturation sensors are operable to identify water production rates at different ones of the plurality of reservoir wells;
• the model processing hub is in communication with the network of saturation sensors and comprises a reservoir simulation model and a processor;
• the reservoir simulation model comprises simulated saturation data, SSIM, and initial permeability distribution data, kcurrent;
• and
• the processor of the model processing hub is operable to
• build a 4D saturation model comprising 4D saturation data, S4D, derived from the network of saturation sensors,
• compare the simulated saturation data, SSIM, of the reservoir simulation model and the 4D saturation data, S4D, of the 4D saturation model to generate a saturation Δ,
• calculate updated permeability distribution data, knew, based on the saturation Δ using a permeability distribution transform function, and
• update the initial permeability distribution data, kcurrent, of the reservoir simulation model with the updated permeability distribution data, knew, to create the 4D guided history matched model of the petroleum exploration environment.