# US 2018/0324099 A1 · Communication prediction apparatus and communication prediction method, and recording medium storing computer program

> Agents: this data is available as JSON from the patentgrep API and MCP server — see https://patentgrep.com/llms.txt

- Number: US 2018/0324099 A1
- Document ID: US20180324099A1
- Status: Published application
- Kind: A1
- Application number: 15/772,926
- Filed: 2016-12-02
- Published: 2018-11-08
- Earliest claimed: 2015-12-04
- Assignees: NEC Corporation
- Applicants: NEC Corporation
- Inventors: Takeo ONISHI
- Web page: https://patentgrep.com/patent/US20180324099A1

## CPC

- H04L 47/127: by using congestion prediction
- H04L 47/83: based on usage prediction
- H04M 11/00: Telephonic communication systems specially adapted for combination with other electrical systems
- H04W 24/08: Testing, {supervising or monitoring} using real traffic
- H04W 28/0289: {Congestion control (load shedding arrangements in network planning H04W16/08; performing reselection for handling the traffic H04W36/22; wireless traffic scheduling H04W72/12)}
- H04L: TRANSMISSION OF DIGITAL INFORMATION, e.g. TELEGRAPHIC COMMUNICATION (arrangements common to telegraphic and telephonic communication H04M)
- H04M: TELEPHONIC COMMUNICATION (circuits for controlling other apparatus via a telephone cable and not involving telephone switching apparatus G08)
- H04W: WIRELESS COMMUNICATION NETWORKS (broadcast communication H04H; communication systems using wireless links for non-selective communication, e.g. wireless extensions H04M1/72)

## Abstract

Provided is, for example, a communication prediction apparatus that can predict, with a higher degree of precision, communication to be performed by an object terminal even when a communication trend changes with changes in the state of the object terminal. A communication prediction apparatus 23 is provided with: a communication monitoring unit 101 that monitors communication performed between an information processing terminal 10 and an application server 30; a terminal-state determination unit 102 that determines a terminal state of the information processing terminal 10; and a communication prediction unit 104 that predicts communication to be performed by the information processing terminal 10 in a period from a point in time of interest to a point in time at which a predetermined time has elapsed.

## Claims

### Claim 1

A communication prediction apparatus comprising:
communication monitor for monitoring communication to be performed between a target terminal being a monitoring target and an external device, and generating monitoring communication information including information relating to the communication;
a terminal state determiner for determining a terminal state of the target terminal, based on at least the monitoring communication information; and
a communication predictor for predicting communication to be performed by the target terminal, based on a determination result in past among determination results determined by the terminal state determiner, communication history information associated with the monitoring communication information used in the determination, and a terminal state of the target terminal at a target time, which is newly determined by the terminal state determiner, during a predetermined period from the target time.

### Claim 2 (depends on 1)

The communication prediction apparatus according to claim 1, wherein
the communication predictor predicts, as prediction on communication to be performed by the target terminal, whether or not communication is performed by the target terminal during a period from the target time until a time after lapse of a predetermined time.

### Claim 3 (depends on 2)

The communication prediction apparatus according to claim 2, wherein
the communication predictor acquires, based on a terminal state of the target terminal at the target time, information associated with a determination result in the past corresponding to the terminal state from among the communication history information by referring to the communication history information, acquires a probability with which the target terminal performs communication during a period from the target time until a time after lapse of a predetermined time, based on the acquired information, and predicts that communication is performed by the target terminal, when the acquired probability is equal to or larger than a predetermined value.

### Claim 4 (depends on 1)

The communication prediction apparatus according to claim 1, further comprising
a terminal state predictor for predicting a terminal state of the target terminal at a time after lapse of a predetermined time from the target time, based on the communication history information, wherein
the communication predictor predicts communication to be performed by the target terminal, based on a terminal state of the target terminal at a time after lapse of a predetermined time from the target time being predicted by the terminal state predictor, the communication history information, and a terminal state of the target terminal at a target time, which is newly determined by the terminal state determiner, during a period from the target time until a time after lapse of a predetermined time.

### Claim 5 (depends on 1)

The communication prediction apparatus according to claim 1, wherein
the terminal state determiner determines, as determination on the terminal state, a state of a screen provided on the target terminal.

### Claim 6 (depends on 1)

The communication prediction apparatus according to claim 1, wherein
the terminal state determiner determines, as determination on the terminal state, a communication state accompanied by an on-going application displayed on a screen provided on the target terminal.

### Claim 7 (depends on 1)

The communication prediction apparatus according to claim 1, wherein
the terminal state determiner determines, as determination on the terminal state, a moving state indicating whether or not the target terminal is being carried.

### Claim 8 (depends on 1)

The communication prediction apparatus according to claim 1, further comprising
prediction notifier for notifying another device different from an own device of prediction result information including a result predicted by the communication predictor.

### Claim 9 (depends on 1)

The communication prediction apparatus according to claim 1, wherein
the communication predictor predicts, as prediction on communication to be performed by the target terminal, a data amount of communication to be performed by the target terminal during a period from the target time until a time after lapse of a predetermined time.

### Claim 10 (depends on 1)

The communication prediction apparatus according to claim 1, wherein
the communication predictor predicts, as prediction on communication to be performed by the target terminal, a frequency of communication to be performed by the target terminal during a period from the target time until a time after lapse of a predetermined time.

### Claim 11

A communication prediction method comprising:
monitoring communication to be performed between a target terminal being a monitoring target and an external device, and generating monitoring communication information including information relating to the communication;
determining a terminal state of the target terminal by determiner, based on at least the monitoring communication information; and
predicting communication to be performed by the target terminal, based on a determination result in past among determination results determined by the determiner, communication history information associated with the monitoring communication information used in the determination, and a terminal state of the target terminal at a target time, which is newly determined by the determiner, during a predetermined period from the target time.

### Claim 12

A non transitory recording medium storing a computer program which causes a computer to implement:
a function of monitoring communication to be performed between a target terminal being a monitoring target and an external device, and generating monitoring communication information including information relating to the communication;
a determination function of determining a terminal state of the target terminal, based on at least the monitoring communication information; and
a function of predicting communication to be performed by the target terminal, based on a determination result in past among determination results determined by the determination function, communication history information associated with the monitoring communication information used in the determination, and a terminal state of the target terminal at a target time, which is newly determined by the determination function, during a predetermined period from the target time.
