US 2018/0018575 A1 · SOCIAL COLLABORATION IN PROBABILISTIC PREDICTION

Abstract

A method, system, and computer program product for social collaboration in probabilistic prediction are provided in the illustrative embodiments. A set of predictions is sent to a user device. A prediction in the set of predictions is a probability of an outcome of an event. The probability is computed using a prediction model trained with training data corresponding to the event. An input is received from the user device. The input comprises a new prediction made at the user device using a new prediction model executing on the user device. A difference is determined between the prediction and the new prediction. The prediction model is revised to produce a revised prediction. A revised difference between the revised prediction and the new prediction is smaller than the difference.

Claims20

Dependent claims

A method for social collaboration in probabilistic prediction, the method comprising:

sending, from an application executing in a data processing system using a processor and a memory, a set of predictions to a user device, wherein a prediction in the set of predictions is a probability of an outcome of an event, wherein the probability is computed using a prediction model trained with training data corresponding to the event;
receiving an input from the user device, wherein the input comprises a new prediction made at the user device using a new prediction model executing on the user device;
determining a difference between the prediction and the new prediction;
and
revising the prediction model to produce a revised prediction, wherein a revised difference between the revised prediction and the new prediction is smaller than the difference.

2 more elements

A computer program product for social collaboration in probabilistic prediction, the computer program product comprising:

one or more computer-readable tangible storage devices;
program instructions, stored on at least one of the one or more storage devices, to send, from an application executing in a data processing system using a processor and a memory, a set of predictions to a user device, wherein a prediction in the set of predictions is a probability of an outcome of an event, wherein the probability is computed using a prediction model trained with training data corresponding to the event;
program instructions, stored on at least one of the one or more storage devices, to receive an input from the user device, wherein the input comprises a new prediction made at the user device using a new prediction model executing on the user device;
program instructions, stored on at least one of the one or more storage devices, to determine a difference between the prediction and the new prediction;
and
program instructions, stored on at least one of the one or more storage devices, to revise the prediction model to produce a revised prediction, wherein a revised difference between the revised prediction and the new prediction is smaller than the difference.

3 more elements

Dependencies are inferred from the claim text.

Social collaboration in probabilistic prediction

Life of this patent

Social collaboration in probabilistic prediction

Life of this patent

Abstract

Claims20