Analysis system and analysis method

An analysis method executed at a system that evaluates a health guidance,

• the system including a processor that executes a program and a memory that stores the program, and
• the system being capable of accessing a database that includes:
• health checkup information including the health checkup results of target persons;
• medical information including the medical care expenses of the target persons;
• and clinical condition transition models in which probabilistic dependencies between nodes corresponding to probability variables representing the conditions of the target persons and nodes corresponding to probability variables of factors that change the conditions are defined by directed edges or undirected edges,
• wherein the method comprises:
• a model applying step in which the processor predicts at least one change among changes between the conditions of the target persons in the case of an intervention not being followed and the conditions of the target persons in the case of the intervention being followed with reference to the health checkup information, the medical information, and the clinical condition transition models;
• and
• a simulation step in which the processor predicts medical care expenses using the conditions predicted by the model applying unit, and calculates the medical care expense of a group to which the target persons belong by aggregating the predicted medical care expenses of the individual target persons, and
• wherein, in the simulation step, screen data used for displaying the calculated medical care expense of the group is output.