# US 2014/0156190 A1 · Methods, systems and computer program storage devices for generating a response to flooding

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- Number: US 2014/0156190 A1
- Document ID: US20140156190A1
- Status: Published application
- Kind: A1
- Application number: 13/690,821
- Filed: 2012-11-30
- Published: 2014-06-05
- Earliest claimed: 2012-11-30
- Assignees: International Business Machines Corporation
- Applicants: International Business Machines Corporation
- Inventors: Jonas Cordazzo; Ulisses T. Mello; Elena A. Novakovskaia; Lloyd A. Treinish
- Web page: https://patentgrep.com/patent/US20140156190A1

## CPC

- G01W 1/10: Devices for predicting weather conditions (computers per se G06; display devices G09)
- G01W 1/14: Rainfall or precipitation gauges (measuring volume in general G01F)
- G06F 30/23: using finite element methods [FEM] or finite difference methods [FDM]
- G06Q 10/04: Forecasting or optimisation specially adapted for administrative or management purposes, e.g. linear programming or "cutting stock problem" (market predictions or forecasting for commercial activities G06Q30/0202)
- G06F 2111/10: Numerical modelling
- Y02A 10/40: Controlling or monitoring, e.g. of flood or hurricane; Forecasting, e.g. risk assessment or mapping
- G01W: METEOROLOGY (radar, sonar, lidar or analogous systems, designed for meteorological use G01S13/95, G01S15/88, G01S17/95)
- G06F: ELECTRIC DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING (computer systems based on specific computational models G06N)
- G06Q: INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- Y02A: TECHNOLOGIES FOR ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE

## Abstract

The present disclosure relates generally to methods, systems and computer program storage devices for generating a response to flooding. In one specific example, the present disclosure relates to methods, systems and computer program storage devices for generating one or more operational responses to flooding.

## Claims

### Claim 1

A computer-implemented system for generating a recommended response to flooding, the system comprising:
a decision support system;
a hydrometeorological system coupled to an observing network; and
a geo-located valuation data stream;
wherein the geo-located valuation data stream is in operative communication with the coupled hydrometeorological system and observing network such that the geo-located valuation data stream receives from the coupled hydrometeorological system and observing network an estimation of forecast uncertainties;
wherein the geo-located valuation data stream is in operative communication with the decision support system such that the decision support system receives from the geo-located valuation data stream a valuation of expected flood damage, wherein the valuation of expected flood damage is based at least in part upon the received estimation of forecast uncertainties; and
wherein at least one of the following is provided:
(a) feedback via operative communication from the decision support system to one or more of the hydrometeorological system, the observing network, the geo-located valuation data stream and the decision support system, wherein the feedback from the decision support system improves flood forecast accuracies at specified locations and times; and
(b) adaptive dynamic refinement via operative communication from the decision support system of one or more of the hydrometeorological system, the observing network and the geo-located valuation data stream to initiate a valuation of expected flood damage.

### Claim 2 (depends on 1)

The system of claim 1, wherein the recommended response is to a forecast flooding.

### Claim 3 (depends on 1)

The system of claim 1, wherein the recommended response is to an actual flooding.

### Claim 4 (depends on 1)

The system of claim 1, further comprising an output element in operative communication with the decision support system.

### Claim 5 (depends on 4)

The system of claim 4, wherein the output element outputs at least one recommended response to flooding.

### Claim 6 (depends on 5)

The system of claim 5, wherein the output element outputs the recommended response to flooding to at least one of: (a) a display monitor; (b) a digital file; and (c) a printer.

### Claim 7 (depends on 1)

The system of claim 1, wherein each of the following is provided:
(a) feedback via operative communication from the decision support system to one or more of the hydrometeorological system, the observing network, the geo-located valuation data stream and the decision support system; and
(b) adaptive dynamic refinement via operative communication from the decision support system of one or more of the hydrometeorological system, the observing network and the geo-located valuation data stream to initiate evaluation of expected flood damage.

### Claim 8 (depends on 1)

The system of claim 1, wherein the estimation of forecast uncertainties is made using probabilistic forecasting.

### Claim 9 (depends on 1)

The system of claim 1, wherein the feedback from the decision support system is made to a plurality of: the hydrometeorological system, the observing network, the geo-located valuation data stream and the decision support system.

### Claim 10 (depends on 1)

The system of claim 1, wherein the adaptive dynamic refinement of one or more of the hydrometeorological system, the observing network and the geo-located valuation data stream further initiates a subsequent expected flood damage iteration.

### Claim 11 (depends on 10)

The system of claim 10, wherein the adaptive dynamic refinement of one or more of the hydrometeorological system, the observing network and the geo-located valuation data stream further narrows down an optimal flood-response solution search.

### Claim 12 (depends on 1)

The system of claim 1, wherein the operative communication with the decision support system is via an operational linkage to the decision support system.

### Claim 13 (depends on 1)

The system of claim 1, wherein the steps are carried out in the order recited.

### Claim 14

A method for generating a recommended response to flooding, the method comprising:
receiving by a geo-located valuation data stream, from a coupled hydrometeorlogical system and observing network, an estimation of forecast uncertainties;
receiving by a decision support system, from the geo-located valuation data stream, a valuation of expected flood damage, wherein the valuation of expected flood damage is based at least in part upon the received estimation of forecast uncertainties; and
performing at least one of:
(a) providing feedback from the decision support system to one or more of the hydrometeorological system, the observing network, the geo-located valuation data stream and the decision support system, wherein the feedback from the decision support system improves flood forecast accuracies at specified locations and times; and
(b) providing adaptive dynamic refinement of one or more of the hydrometeorological system, the observing network and the geo-located valuation data stream to initiate a valuation of expected flood damage.

### Claim 15 (depends on 14)

The method of claim 14, wherein the recommended response is to a forecast flooding.

### Claim 16 (depends on 14)

The method of claim 14, wherein the recommended response is to an actual flooding.

### Claim 17 (depends on 14)

The method of claim 14, further comprising outputting at least one recommended response to flooding.

### Claim 18 (depends on 14)

The method of claim 14, wherein the steps are carried out in the order recited.

### Claim 19

A program storage device readable by machine, tangibly embodying a program of instructions executable by the machine for generating a recommended response to flooding, the program of instructions, when executing, performing the following steps:
receiving by a geo-located valuation data stream, from a coupled hydrometeorological system and observing network, an estimation of forecast uncertainties;
receiving by a decision support system, from the geo-located valuation data stream, a valuation of expected flood damage, wherein the valuation of expected flood damage is based at least in part upon the received estimation of forecast uncertainties; and
performing at least one of:
(a) providing feedback from the decision support system to one or more of the hydrometeorological system, the observing network, the geo-located valuation data stream and the decision support system, wherein the feedback from the decision support system improves flood forecast accuracies at specified locations and times; and
(b) providing adaptive dynamic refinement of one or more of the hydrometeorological system, the observing network and the geo-located valuation data stream to initiate a valuation of expected flood damage.

### Claim 20 (depends on 19)

The program storage device of claim 19, wherein the recommended response is to a forecast flooding.

### Claim 21 (depends on 19)

The program storage device of claim 19, wherein the recommended response is to an actual flooding.

### Claim 22 (depends on 19)

The program storage device of claim 19, wherein the program of instructions, when executing, further performs the following step: outputting at least one recommended response to flooding.

### Claim 23 (depends on 19)

The program storage device of claim 19, wherein the steps are carried out in the order recited.
