A method for rendering, by a computerized mobile wireless data network performance parameter forecasting system, a forecast for a mobile wireless network performance parameter, the method comprising the steps of:
- acquiring, via a communications network infrastructure for the mobile wireless network, a raw data point set containing a series of data point values for the mobile wireless network parameter;
- correcting the raw data point set, the correcting comprising the sub-steps of:
- performing a first linear regression on the raw data point set to render an initial best fit line,
- calculating a current series of data point residuals based upon:
- a current best fit line, the current best fit line being in a first instance the initial best fit line, and
- a current series of data point values, the current series of data point values being in a first instance the raw data point set,
- decomposing the current series of data point residuals into a current set of seasonal data point residual subsets,
- performing a boxplot analysis on the current set of seasonal data point residual subsets to identify a current set of anomalous data point residuals,
- correcting the current set of anomalous data point residuals to render a corrected data point residual set, and
- applying the corrected data point residual set to the current best fit line to render a current corrected data point set;
- and
- applying the current corrected data point set to a forecast model to render a forecast for the mobile wireless network performance parameter.