Methods of Predicting The Probability of Modulation of Transcript Levels By RNAI Compounds

A method for determining the probabilities that an RNAi compound modulates the expression levels of each gene in a set of genes of interest, said method comprising:

• (a) calculating, on a suitably programmed computer, a score representing a probability that said RNAi compound modulates a transcript of a gene in said set of genes of interest according to a linear model of:
• Score=A*#pm+B*#m1-7+C*#m2-8+D*#m2-7+E*length(3′UTR)+optionally F+optionally G*X
• wherein
• said #pm is the number of pm seed match types between a 3′UTR sequence of said transcript and a seed sequence, or a variant thereof, of said RNAi compound;
• said seed sequence consists of the first 8 nucleotides, numbered 1-8, respectively, at a 5′ end of said RNAi compound;
• said #m1-7 is the number of m1-7 seed match types between said 3′UTR sequence and said seed sequence or said variant thereof;
• said #m2-8 is the number of m2-8 seed match types between said 3′UTR sequence and said seed sequence or said variant thereof;
• said #m2-7 is the number of m2-7 seed match types between said 3′UTR sequence and said seed sequence or said variant thereof;
• and
• said length(3′UTR) is the length in number of nucleotides of said 3′UTR sequence;
• wherein said variant is said seed sequence except that a nucleotide U replaces the nucleotide at position 1 of said seed sequence;
• wherein
• said pm seed match type=perfect match of all nucleotides 1-8 in said seed sequence or said variant thereof;
• said m1-7 seed match type=perfect match of nucleotides 1-7 and mismatch of nucleotide 8 in said seed sequence or said variant thereof;
• said m2-8 seed match type=perfect match of nucleotides 2-8 and mismatch of nucleotide 1 in said seed sequence or said variant thereof;
• and
• said m2-7 seed match type=perfect match of nucleotides 2-7 and mismatches of nucleotides 1 and 8 in said seed sequence or said variant thereof;
• wherein a perfect match means a complementary nucleotide is present, and a mismatch means absence of a complementary nucleotide;
• wherein coefficients A, B, C, D, E, F and G are constants;
• and wherein X is the value of one or more additional features characterizing the influence of said RNAi compound on said gene;
• and
• (b) repeating step (a) for each gene in said set of genes, thereby determining a set of scores indicating the probability that said RNAi compound modulates said respective transcript, thereby determining the probabilities that said RNAi compound modulates the expression levels of each gene in said set of genes.