Airline revenue planning and forecasting system and method

A system for estimating airline demand comprising:

• means for accessing first capacity data for a previous N years at a time period level and Origin and Destination level;
• means for accessing flown data for a previous M years at a Point of Sale level, time period level and Origin and Destination level;
• means for accessing second capacity data for a forecasting period that extends beyond a time for which airline schedules are available;
• means for generating an effective growth for a budget year based on the first and second capacity data;
• means for calculating at least one of an actual growth and a market growth;
• and
• means for deriving a passenger demand forecast based on the effective growth, the flown data and any of actual growth, market growth and total market demand.

A system for estimating airline fares comprising:

• means for accessing average fares for a previous N years at time period level, Point of Sale level and Origin and Destination level;
• means for deriving an effective growth based on the average fares;
• and
• means for using the effective growth to generate fares forecast for a next budget year.

A system for estimating airline demand comprising:

• means for accessing capacity data for a previous N years at Origin and Destination level;
• means for accessing flown data for a previous M years at a Point of Sale level and Origin and Destination level;
• means for accessing capacity data for a forecasting period that extends beyond a time when reservation information is available;
• means for deriving an actual growth factor based on seasonality;
• means for deriving an effective growth factor based on the flown data, the capacity data, the actual growth factor, the flown data and market data;
• and
• means for generating a passenger demand forecast for a budget year based on the effective growth factor.

A computer program product for estimating airline demand, the computer program product comprising a computer useable medium having computer program logic recorded thereon for controlling a processor, the computer program logic comprising:

• computer program code means for accessing capacity data for a previous N years at a Point of Sale level, time period level and an Origin and Destination level;
• computer program code means for accessing flown data for a previous M years at the Point of Sale level, time period level, and Origin and Destination level;
• computer program code means for accessing capacity data for a forecasting period that extends beyond a time when reservation information is available;
• computer program code means for calculating at least one of actual growth and market growth;
• computer program code means for deriving an effective growth based on flown data, the capacity data for the previous N years, the capacity data for the forecasting period and the at least one of the actual growth and the market growth;
• and
• computer program code means for generating a passenger demand forecast for a budget year based on the effective growth.

A computer program product for estimating airline demand, the computer program product comprising a computer useable medium having computer program logic recorded thereon for controlling a processor, the computer program logic comprising:

• computer program code means for accessing a first capacity data for a previous N years at time period level and Origin and Destination level;
• computer program code means for accessing flown data for a previous M years at a Point of Sale level, time period level and Origin and Destination level;
• computer program code means for accessing a second capacity data for a forecasting period that extends beyond a time for which airline schedules are available;
• computer program code means for generating an effective growth for a budget year based on the first and second capacity data;
• computer program code means for calculating at least one of an actual growth and market growth based on the first capacity, the second capacity and the flown data;
• and
• computer program code means for deriving a passenger demand forecast based on the effective growth, the flown data and any of actual growth, market growth and total market demand.

A computer program product for estimating airline fares, the computer program product comprising a computer useable medium having computer program logic recorded thereon for controlling a processor, the computer program logic comprising:

• computer program code means for accessing average fares for a previous N years at time period level, Point of Sale level and Origin and Destination level;
• computer program code means for deriving an effective growth based on the average fares;
• and
• computer program code means for using the effective growth to generate a demand fares forecast for a next budget year.

A computer program product for estimating airline demand, the computer program product comprising a computer useable medium having computer program logic recorded thereon for controlling a processor, the computer program logic comprising:

• computer program code means for accessing capacity data for a previous N years at Origin and Destination level;
• computer program code means for accessing flown data for a previous M years at a Point of Sale level and Origin and Destination level;
• computer program code means for accessing capacity data for a forecasting period that extends beyond a time when reservation information is available;
• computer program code means for deriving an actual growth factor based on seasonality;
• computer program code means for deriving an effective growth factor based on the capacity data, the actual growth factor, the flown data and market data;
• and
• computer program code means for generating a passenger demand forecast for the budget year based on the effective growth factor.

A method for estimating airline demand comprising:

• accessing capacity data for a previous N years at a Point of Sale level, time period level and an Origin and Destination level;
• accessing flown data for a previous M years at the Point of Sale level, time period level, and Origin and Destination level;
• accessing capacity data for a forecasting period that extends beyond a time when reservation information is available;
• calculating at least one of actual growth and market growth;
• deriving an effective growth based on the flown data, the capacity data for the previous N years, the capacity data for the forecasting period and the at least one of the actual growth and the market growth;
• and
• generating a passenger demand forecast for a budget year based on the effective growth.

A method for estimating airline demand comprising the steps of:

• accessing a first capacity data for a previous N years at time period level and Origin and Destination level;
• accessing flown data for a previous M years at a Point of Sale level, time period level and Origin and Destination level;
• accessing a second capacity data for a forecasting period that extends beyond a time for which airline schedules are available;
• calculating at least one of an actual growth and a market growth;
• and
• generating a passenger demand forecast based on the flown data and any of actual growth, market growth and total market demand.

A method for estimating airline fares comprising the steps of:

• accessing average fares for a previous N years at time period level, Point of Sale level and Origin and Destination level;
• deriving an effective growth based on the average fares;
• and
• using the effective growth to generate a demand fares forecast for a next budget year.

A method for estimating airline demand comprising the steps of:

• accessing capacity data for a previous N years at Origin and Destination level;
• accessing flown data for a previous M years at a Point of Sale level and Origin and Destination level;
• accessing capacity data for a forecasting period that extends beyond twelve months;
• deriving an actual growth factor based on seasonality;
• deriving an effective growth factor based on the capacity data, the actual growth factor, the flown data and market data;
• and
• generating a passenger demand forecast for a budget year based on the effective growth factor.