Method and system for measuring market conditions
OwnerRichard B. Olsen, Jorgen L. Olsen +2inventors
InventorsRichard B. Olsen, Jorgen L. Olsen, Giles O. Zumbach, Michel M. Dacorogna
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OwnerRichard B. Olsen, Jorgen L. Olsen +2inventors
InventorsRichard B. Olsen, Jorgen L. Olsen, Giles O. Zumbach, Michel M. Dacorogna
Estimating the term…
The present invention introduces two “event” scales for financial markets, called “scale of market shocks” (SMS), which measure the importance of the market movements. These indices are based on the price volatility and are computed by integrating mapped asset volatilities over time horizons that range from 1 hour to 42 days. The first SMS is an absolute scale, or universal scale, allowing values of different assets to be compared directly. The second SMS is an adaptive scale, calibrated to the typical behavior of each asset allowing the relative importance of market movements to be assessed. In principle, the SMS can be constructed for any market: the indices are computed from the price time series. In the foreign exchan9e (FX) market, each index is associated with a currency pair and we derive from it an index per currency and an index for the whole market. In order to define the most appropriate SMS, the probability distribution for the volatilities is studied first. Then, the probability distribution of the two scales is computed. For USD/DEM and USD/JPY, the relations between peaks for the SMS and major “world events” is put forward. In addition, we also measure the correlation between the Scale of Market Shocks index and the size of the next price movements, which shows a high correlation for short time intervals.
A system for measuring at least one market condition from at least one time series comprising:
A method for measuring at least one market condition from at least one time series comprising the steps of:
Computer executable software code stored on a computer readable medium, the code for measuring at least one market condition from at least one time series, the code comprising:
A programmed computer system for measuring at least one market condition from at least one time series, comprising at least one memory having at least one region storing computer executable program code and at least one processor for executing the program code stored in said memory, wherein the program code includes
Dependencies are inferred from the claim text.