Vegetation management using predicted outages

A computer program product having one or more computer readable storage media having computer readable program code collectively stored on the one or more computer readable storage media, the computer readable program code being executed by a processor of a computer system to cause the computer system to perform operations comprising:

• obtaining historical weather data for a geographical location including a utility line;
• obtaining historical outage data for the utility line;
• training an outage prediction model based at least in part on the historical weather data and the historical outage data;
• generating, based on the historical weather data, a future storm data set for a time period, wherein the future storm data set includes a plurality of storms and a storm probability score corresponding to each of the plurality of storms;
• obtaining an outage prediction score for the utility line by inputting the future storm data set into the outage prediction model, wherein the outage prediction model is configured to create an outage score for each of the plurality of storms and wherein the outage prediction score for the utility line is calculated as a sum of the outage scores multiplied by the storm probability score for each of the plurality of storms;
• and
• creating a vegetation trimming score for the utility line based at least in part on the outage prediction score for the utility line, wherein creating the vegetation trimming score comprises calculating a numerical value for the vegetation trimming score and mapping the numerical value to one of a plurality of trimming urgency categories, wherein the vegetation trimming score for the utility line indicates line when vegetation trimming adjacent to the utility line should be performed, the plurality of trimming urgency categories including a category indicating that vegetation trimming adjacent to the utility line should be performed immediately.

A computing system comprising:

• a processor;
• a memory coupled to the processor;
• and
• one or more computer readable storage media coupled to the processor, the one or more computer readable storage media collectively containing instructions that are executed by the processor via the memory to cause the processor to perform operations comprising:
• obtaining historical weather data for a geographical location including a utility line;
• obtaining historical outage data for the utility line;
• training an outage prediction model based at least in part on the historical weather data and the historical outage data;
• generating, based on the historical weather data, a future storm data set for a time period, wherein the future storm data set includes a plurality of storms and a storm probability score corresponding to each of the plurality of storms;
• obtaining an outage prediction score for the utility line by inputting the future storm data set into the outage prediction model, wherein the outage prediction model is configured to create an outage score for each of the plurality of storms and wherein the outage prediction score for the utility line is calculated as a sum of the outage scores multiplied by the storm probability score for each of the plurality of storms;
• and
• creating a vegetation trimming score for the utility line based at least in part on the outage prediction score for the utility line, wherein creating the vegetation trimming score comprises calculating a numerical value for the vegetation trimming score and mapping the numerical value to one of a plurality of trimming urgency categories, wherein the vegetation trimming score for the utility line indicates line when vegetation trimming adjacent to the utility line should be performed, the plurality of trimming urgency categories including a category indicating that vegetation trimming adjacent to the utility line should be performed immediately.