Golf play outcome simulation modeling system

A golf tournament simulation system comprising:

• a processing unit and memory storing instructions that when executed cause the system to:
• execute simulations of a golf event to generate predictions with respect to play of participating players, the simulations being stored in memory as a plurality of tournament simulations for update processing:
• store, in memory, for each participating player, per-player in-memory simulation data comprising predicted hole scores for each hole across the plurality of tournament simulations;
• replace predicted hole scores with actual hole scores during actual play by, at periodic intervals, processing live scoring data received since a preceding interval, or responsive to receipt of live scoring data, by substituting, across the per-player in-memory simulation data for a player identified in the live scoring data, the actual hole scores for corresponding predicted hole scores and update one or more of the predictions including predicted round scores and predicted tournament scores based on the actual hole scores and remaining predicted hole scores for each of the plurality of tournament simulations;
• compute prediction outcome probabilities from the updated predictions, and
• output the prediction outcome probabilities for players with a player ID associated with each player and a time-stamp corresponding to the respective outcome probability to track most recent probabilities for each player and generate trending display data representative of changes in the prediction outcome probabilities over time configured for television broadcast or consumption by applications providing trending probability displays.

A method of generating trending probability displays for a golf tournament with a golf tournament simulation modeling system comprising memory storing instructions and a processing unit that executes the instructions, the method comprising:

• generating prediction outcome probabilities for participating players in a golf tournament based on a plurality of tournament simulations, the simulations being stored in memory as a plurality of tournament simulations for update processing:
• storing, in the memory, for each participating player, per-player in-memory simulation data comprising predicted hole scores for each hole across the plurality of tournament simulations:
• updating the prediction outcome probabilities at periodic intervals during actual tournament play by, at each interval, processing live scoring data received since a preceding interval, or responsive to receipt of live scoring data, by substituting, across the per-player in-memory simulation data for a player identified in the live scoring data, actual hole scores for corresponding predicted hole scores, computing, for each of the plurality of tournament simulations, predicted round scores and predicted tournament scores for the player, and updating the prediction outcome probabilities based on the computed scores;
• associating each updated prediction outcome probability with a player ID and a time-stamp corresponding to the respective outcome probability;
• and
• generating trending display data representative of changes in the prediction outcome probabilities over time configured for consumption by one or more applications comprising television broadcast applications or digital platform applications providing trending probability displays.