Adaptive thermal control of data center and IT equipment

A data center thermal control system for cooling a fleet of electronic components, the control system comprising one or more processors and a non-transitory computer-readable medium storing instructions that, when executed by the one or more processors, would cause the processors to govern the control system to cool the fleet to a different thermal margin floor during at least a portion an early failure stage than during a stable stage, wherein:

• the early failure stage being a window after installation of the components during which an expected failure rate for the components, according to historical failure data, decreases at least at a first rate;
• the stable stage being a window after the early failure stage during which the failure rate for the components, according to historical failure data, decreases at less than the first rate and increases at less than a second rate;
• and
• the thermal margin is a difference between a predetermined temperature and an actual operating temperature of the component,
• wherein the instructions, when executed by the one or more processors, would cause the processors to govern the control system to cool the fleet to a stable thermal margin floor during the stable stage and an early margin floor during the early failure stage, wherein the early margin floor is less than the stable margin floor,
• wherein the instructions, when executed by the one or more processors, would cause the processors to govern the control system to cool the fleet to the early margin floor from installation of the fleet until an adapted stable transition time and to begin cooling the fleet to at least the stable margin floor at the adapted stable transition time, wherein the adapted stable transition time is an earliest time following installation of the fleet when an actual failure rate of components among the fleet is expected to decrease by less than a predetermined rate, and
• wherein the predetermined rate is a predetermined increase rate or a predetermined decrease rate marking transitions between the early failure stage, the stable stage, and the wear out stage.