Demand response of loads having thermal reserves

A system comprising:

• a local controller arranged at a first one of a plurality of electrical loads that each have a corresponding thermal reserve, the local controller configured to:
• store past power usage of the first one of the plurality of electrical loads,
• generate a device model based upon the past power usage of the first one of the plurality of electrical loads and the corresponding thermal reserve,
• predict a future thermal reserve of the first one of the plurality of electrical loads based on the device model,
• send the future thermal reserve to a centralized control,
• receive a demand response signal based on the future thermal reserve from the centralized control, and
• selectively turn the first one of the plurality of electrical loads on or off based on the demand response signal.

A system comprising:

• a local controller arranged at a first one of a plurality of electrical loads that each have a corresponding thermal reserve, the local controller comprising:
• storage means for storing past power usage of the first one of the plurality of electrical loads,
• a load statistical model configured to:
• generate a device model based upon the past power usage of the first one of the plurality of electrical loads and the corresponding thermal reserve, and predict a future thermal reserve of the first one of the plurality of electrical loads based on the device model, and
• a real-time control module configured to send the future thermal reserve to a centralized control, to receive a demand response signal based on the future thermal reserve from the centralized control, and to selectively turn the first one of the plurality of electrical loads on or off based on the demand response signal.