Molten metal component estimation device, method of estimating molten metal component, and method of manufacturing molten metal

A molten metal component estimation device comprising:

• an input device configured to receive measurement information about a refining facility including measurement results regarding an optical characteristic at a furnace throat in the refining facility during a blowing process;
• a model database configured to store model expressions and model parameters, regarding a blowing process reaction, including a model expression and model parameters representing a relation between the oxygen efficiency in decarburization and a carbon concentration in a molten metal in the refining facility;
• and
• a processor comprising hardware, the processor being configured to:
• estimate component concentrations of the molten metal including the carbon concentration in the molten metal by using the measurement information, the model expressions and the model parameters,
• estimate the carbon concentration in the molten metal based on the measurement results,
• determine the model expression and the model parameters to be used when estimating the component concentrations of the molten metal, based on the estimation result of the carbon concentration in the molten metal, and
• detect a time when the intensity change rate shifts from a positive value to a negative value as a time when the carbon concentration in the molten metal reaches a critical carbon concentration, and switch the model expression and the model parameters based on the critical carbon concentration,
• wherein the measurement results include an intensity change rate of a spectrum resulting from an iron oxide reduction reaction in a slag, and
• the molten metal component estimation device is configured to adjust the component concentration of the molten metal within a desired range at the blowing process based on the estimated component concentration of the molten metal that is estimated to form an adjusted molten metal.