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US 11,694,154 B2Granted
System and method for determining a transit prediction model
AssigneeSimpler Postage, Inc.
InventorGraham McAlister
Life of this patent
Estimating the term…
Abstract
A method for prediction model determination can include: determining a set of models, training each model, determining package transit data, evaluating the set of models, selecting a model from the set of models, predicting package transit data using the selected model, and/or any other suitable element.
Claims9
A system, comprising:
- an interface configured to receive a request for a target package;
- and
- a processing system configured to:
- a) determine actual transit times for a set of packages;
- b) train a set of models using supervised learning, wherein each model is associated with a sliding training window, wherein each model is trained using a different set of historic transit data, wherein training the set of models comprises training a set of model instances of each model, wherein each model instance is associated with a different reference date, wherein the set of historic transit data used to train the model instance is selected based on the sliding training window and the associated reference date;
- c) for each model:
- determine predicted transit times for the set of packages using the model;
- and
- determine individual evaluation metrics for each of a set of time periods based on the predicted and actual transit times for the set of packages;
- d) select a model from the set of models based on the individual evaluation metrics for each trained model;
- and
- e) predict a transit time for the target package using the selected model;
- wherein the interface returns the predicted transit time for the target package.
10 more elements
Dependencies are inferred from the claim text.