Computer-implemented method and system for estimating impact of new operational conditions in a baseline air traffic scenario

A system, comprising:

• one or more computer processors;
• and
• a memory containing computer program code that, when executed by operation of the one or more computer processors, performs an operation for estimating impact of new operational conditions in a baseline air traffic scenario, the operation comprising:
• for at least one flight in the baseline air traffic scenario, inferring a first aircraft intent that fits corresponding flight track data;
• computing a reconstructed trajectory of the at least one flight in the baseline air traffic scenario using the inferred first aircraft intent;
• for at least one flight in an alternative air traffic scenario, generating a second aircraft intent that fits new operational conditions to be applied to a plurality of aircraft, wherein the new operational conditions comprise at least one of:
• (i) one or more new air traffic management operations or (ii) one or more new air traffic procedures, and wherein the generated second aircraft intent conforms to the at least one of:
• (i) one or more new air traffic management operations or (ii) one or more new air traffic procedures;
• computing a generated trajectory of the at least one flight in the alternative air traffic scenario using the generated second aircraft intent;
• and
• computing trajectory-based analytics on each computed trajectory of the baseline and alternative air traffic scenarios using a set of metrics.

A computer program product for estimating impact of new operational conditions in a baseline air traffic scenario, comprising computer code instructions that, when executed by a processor, causes the processor to perform an operation, the operation comprising:

• for at least one flight in the baseline air traffic scenario, inferring a first aircraft intent that fits corresponding flight track data;
• computing a reconstructed trajectory of the at least one flight in the baseline air traffic scenario using the inferred first aircraft intent;
• for at least one flight in an alternative air traffic scenario, generating a second aircraft intent that fits new operational conditions to be applied to a plurality of aircraft, wherein the new operational conditions comprise at least one of:
• (i) one or more new air traffic management operations or (ii) one or more new air traffic procedures, and wherein the generated second aircraft intent conforms to the at least one of:
• (i) one or more new air traffic management operations or (ii) one or more new air traffic procedures;
• computing a generated trajectory of the at least one flight in the alternative air traffic scenario using the generated second aircraft intent;
• and
• computing trajectory-based analytics on each computed trajectory of the baseline and alternative air traffic scenarios using a set of metrics.