Early warning and event predicting systems and methods for predicting future events

An early warning and event monitoring computer device for predicting events, the computer device comprising at least one processor in communication with at least one memory device, the at least one processor programmed to:

• store a plurality of models associated with a plurality of future events, wherein the plurality of models include macro variables, meso variables, and micro variables, wherein the micro variables relate to actor specific data, wherein the meso variables relate to network structures between actors, and wherein the macro variables relate to structural political, military, economic, and social factors that encompass all events;
• receive a user query;
• receive a plurality of data from a plurality of data sources;
• preprocess the plurality of data to remove noise and populate the plurality of models with the plurality of data;
• determine a subset of models of the plurality of models to execute based on the user query;
• execute the subset of models to receive a plurality of results;
• ensemble the plurality of results from the subset of models to determine a combination model by blending the results of individual models in a plurality of stages that automatically performs model hyperparameter identification and tuning to achieve the highest accuracy dynamically;
• execute the combination model to forecast at least one future event based on the user query, wherein the at least one future event includes a probability, frequency, and magnitude of the at least one future event occurring within a specific period of time and a confidence level associated with the probability, the frequency, and the magnitude;
• and
• execute the combination model and present to a user a subset of variables capable of increasing or decreasing predictive probabilities, frequencies, and magnitudes based on a change in one or more of the subset of variables.