Refining customer financial security trades data model for modeling likelihood of successful completion of financial security trades

A method, comprising:

• at a computing device having at least one processor, a communication interface, and a memory:
• identifying, by the at least one processor, a user profile associated with historical computer financial security trade transactions of a first category;
• collecting, by the at least one processor, behavioral data associated with the user profile, wherein the behavioral data comprises a plurality of events corresponding to the computer financial security trade transactions of the first category;
• receive, by the at least one processor and over a network, auxiliary data corresponding to each event;
• receive, by the at least one processor and from a user via a first user interface, a first new computer financial security trade transaction for evaluation;
• executing, by the at least one processor, a financial security trade model to determine a first predicted outcome associated the first new computer financial security trade transaction based on similarities between the first new computer financial security trade transaction and the computer financial security trade transactions of the first category and the auxiliary data;
• comparing, by the at least one processor, the first predicted outcome with an actual outcome associated with the computer financial security trade transactions of the first category;
• refining, by the at least one processor, the financial security trade model based on the comparing;
• determining, by the at least one processor, an accuracy of the refined financial security trade model is optimized by determining that the accuracy has decreased after previous increases;
• receive, by the at least one processor and from the user and via the first user interface, a second new computer financial security trade transaction;
• executing, by the at least one processor, the refined, optimized financial security trade model to determine a second predicted outcome associated with the second new computer financial security trade transaction based on similarities between the second new computer financial security trade transaction and the computer financial security trade transactions of the first category;
• identifying, by the at least one processor, a score indicating a likelihood of success associated with the second new computer financial security trade transaction;
• displaying, by the at least one processor, a second user interface, the second user interface including the score associated with the second new computer financial security trade transaction and the second predicted outcome, the second user interface further including a request for user input associated with whether to proceed with the second new computer financial security trade transaction;
• responsive to receiving user input to not proceed with the second new computer financial security trade transaction, cancelling, by the at least one processor, the second new computer financial security trade transaction;
• and
• responsive to receiving user input to proceed with the second new computer financial security trade transaction, executing, by the at least one processor and via a trading system, the second new computer financial security trade transaction.

A computing device, comprising:

• at least one processor;
• a communication interface;
• and
• a memory storing computer-executable instructions that, when executed by the at least one processor, cause the computing device to:
• identify a user profile associated with historical computer financial security trade transactions of a first category;
• collect behavioral data associated with the user profile, wherein the behavioral data comprises a plurality of events corresponding to the computer financial security trade transactions of the first category;
• receive, over a network, auxiliary data corresponding to each event;
• receive, from a user via a first user interface, a first new computer financial security trade transaction for evaluation;
• execute a financial security trade model to determine a first predicted outcome associated the first new computer financial security trade transaction based on similarities between the first new computer financial security trade transaction and the computer financial security trade transactions of the first category and the auxiliary data;
• compare the first predicted outcome with an actual outcome associated with the computer financial security trade transactions of the first category;
• refine the financial security trade model based on the comparing;
• determine an accuracy of the refined financial security trade model is optimized by determining that the accuracy has decreased after previous increases;
• receive, from the user and via the first user interface, a second new computer financial security trade transaction;
• execute the refined, optimized financial security trade model to determine a second predicted outcome associated with the second new computer financial security trade transaction based on similarities between the second new computer financial security trade transaction and the computer financial security trade transactions of the first category;
• identify a score indicating a likelihood of success associated with the second new computer financial security trade transaction;
• display a second user interface, the second user interface including the score associated with the second new computer financial security trade transaction and the second predicted outcome, the second user interface further including a request for user input associated with whether to proceed with the second new computer financial security trade transaction;
• responsive to receiving user input to not proceed with the second new computer financial security trade transaction, cancel the second new computer financial security trade transaction;
• and
• responsive to receiving user input to proceed with the second new computer financial security trade transaction, execute, via a trading system, the second new computer financial security trade transaction.