Device, program and recording medium for estimating a number of browsing times of web pages

A process for estimating a number of browsings of a webpage, the process comprising:

• acquiring browsing frequency data indicating a number of times that a web page was browsed by a visitor of a Web site in a past predetermined period for each of a plurality of web pages included in the Web site;
• acquiring moving visitors data indicating, for each of the plurality of the web pages, a number of visitors who moved from the web page they were browsing to another web page included in the Web site for each move-destination web page in the predetermined period;
• acquiring assumed landing data indicating, for each of the plurality of the web pages, a number of visitors assumed to move from the outside of the Web site to the web page;
• executing a series of calculations repeatedly until the calculated inflowing visitors satisfies a predetermined condition, the series of calculations including inflowing calculation, the inflowing calculation including,
• calculating a number of outflowing visitors of each web page by multiplying a specified number of inflowing visitors with a ratio of a value indicated by the moving visitors data to a value indicated by the browsing frequency data, and
• calculating a number of new inflowing visitors of each web page by summing up the calculated outflowing visitors for each of the destination web pages;
• wherein
• an initial value of the specified number of inflowing visitors being a number of visitors indicated by the assumed landing data, the specified number of inflowing visitors being a number of the new inflowing visitors calculated previously in the repeated calculation;
• and
• calculating an estimated number of browsings of each of the plurality of the web pages based on the specified number of inflowing visitors used in each of the calculation processings repeatedly executed.

A computer-readable non-transitory recording medium storing a computer program that causes a computer to execute a process, the process comprising:

• acquiring browsing frequency data indicating a number of times that a web page was browsed by a visitor of a Web site in a past predetermined period for each of a plurality of web pages included in the Web site;
• acquiring moving visitors data indicating, for each of the plurality of the web pages, a number of visitors who moved from the web page they were browsing to another web page included in the Web site for each move-destination web page in the predetermined period;
• acquiring assumed landing data indicating, for each of the plurality of the web pages, a number of visitors assumed to move from the outside of the Web site to the web page;
• executing a series of calculations repeatedly until the calculated inflowing visitors satisfies a predetermined condition, the series of calculations including inflowing calculation, the inflowing calculation including,
• calculating a number of outflowing visitors of each web page by multiplying a specified number of inflowing visitors with a ratio of a value indicated by the moving visitors data to a value indicated by the browsing frequency data, and
• calculating a number of new inflowing visitors of each web page by summing up the calculated outflowing visitors for each of the destination web pages, wherein
• an initial value of the specified number of inflowing visitors being a number of visitors indicated by the assumed landing data, the specified number of inflowing visitors being a number of the new inflowing visitors calculated previously in the repeated calculation;
• and
• calculating an estimated number of browsings of each of the plurality of the web pages based on the specified number of inflowing visitors used in each of the calculation processings, repeatedly executed.