Determining demand response impact scores and target customer group for energy saving events

A computer program product for determining an effectiveness of a demand response (DR) program, the computer program product comprising a computer readable storage medium having program instructions embodied therewith, the program instructions executable by a computing device to cause the computing device to:

• determine an effectiveness of the demand response (DR) program based on analytics information of a hierarchy of a utility transmission and distribution system, and analytics information of customers associated with the utility transmission and distribution system, wherein the analytics information of the hierarchy of a utility transmission and distribution system and the analytics information of the customers is obtained using an application program interface (API), wherein the DR program is an energy savings event for utility load management;
• determine confidence scores of the customers based on the analytics information of the hierarchy of a utility transmission and distribution system and the analytics information of the customers associated with the utility transmission and distribution system;
• identify alternate routes for supplying the customers with electricity by using the confidence scores of the customers to identify feeders and transformers having lower power loss ratios and cost per unit in supplying electricity to the customers;
• purchase energy based on the confidence scores;
• and
• determine and select a target set of customers for which to select to participate in the DR program;
• wherein the confidence scores of the customers indicate an estimated amount of energy saved by the customers during the DR program.

A system comprising:

• a CPU, a computer readable memory and a computer readable storage medium associated with a computing device;
• program instructions to receive information regarding confidence scores associated with a feeder, a transformer associated with the feeder, and customers associated with the transformer, wherein the confidence scores for the transformer is based on the confidence scores for the feeder, and the confidence scores of the customers are based on the confidence score for the transformers, wherein the information is received via an application programming interface (API);
• program instructions to purchase energy based on the confidence scores;
• program instructions to identify alternate routes for supplying the customers with electricity by using the confidence scores of the customers to identify feeders and transformers having lower power loss ratios and cost per unit in supplying electricity to the customers;
• program instructions to select a particular group of the customers for participation in a demand response (DR) program based on the confidence scores of the customers, wherein the DR program is an energy savings event for utility load management;
• program instructions to determine and provide rewards for the customers as part of the DR program;
• program instructions to implement the DR program based on the confidence scores of the customers;
• and
• program instructions to output a message to the group of customers to notify the customers regarding the selection of the group of customers for the participation in the DR program;
• wherein the confidence scores of the customers indicate an estimated amount of energy saved by the customers during the DR program, and
• wherein the program instructions are stored on the computer readable storage medium for execution by the CPU via the computer readable memory.